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How Soon Until We Have Self-Driving Cars?

How Soon Until We Have Self-Driving Cars?

This is Volvo’s 360c concept car, and it’s just one idea of what
completely driverless cars might look like one day. That means cars without
even a steering wheel that can safely navigate public roads entirely on their own. But with how much we hear
about self-driving technology making its way into everyday
cars, it’s hard not to wonder: How much longer do we have to wait? Understanding just how far we’ve come with self-driving technology
can be a bit tricky. To help define how sophisticated the automated technology actually is, the Society of Automotive Engineers classifies these systems
using five levels. Level 1 is driver assistance, where the vehicle is able to
control steering or braking but not both simultaneously. Level 2 is partial automation, where the car can assist with both steering and braking simultaneously, but your attention is required
on the road at all times. Both Tesla’s Autopilot and
General Motors’ Super Cruise are examples of this. Level 3 is conditional automation, where certain circumstances allow the car to handle most aspects of driving and the driver has the
ability to temporarily take their eyes off the road. Level 4 is high automation, where, in the right conditions, the car can take full control, giving the driver a chance
to focus on other tasks. And Level 5 is full automation. In this hypothetical
situation, the car drives you, and there isn’t even a steering wheel. So, what level are we currently at? Most experts would agree: somewhere between Levels 2 and 3. However, one of their biggest concerns is the public’s misconception
that we’re much further along. Bryan Reimer: There’s an
incredible amount of confusion in the general public around
the context of self-driving. In our survey data here, about
23% of respondents believe that a self-driving vehicle is
available for purchase today. And a lot of that has to do
with statements by Elon Musk and others talking about
the driverless capabilities and the self-driving
capabilities of vehicles. These are systems that are
made to assist the driver under the supervision of a driver. Narrator: So, is it simply the limits of these automated systems
that’s holding us back? Actually, there are a number
of other factors in the way. For starters, our roads. Simply put, many roads,
especially in the United States, are too much of a mess to support cars that can drive by themselves. Reimer: So, while many
individuals out there are really working on the development of self-reliant automation, in essence, a robot that’s fully capable
of making its own decisions in today’s infrastructure, the reality is, today’s infrastructure is not
well equipped for autonomy. In essence, potholes, poor lane markings, and all the other crumbling aspects of our nation’s infrastructure aren’t going to support high-tech well. Narrator: In addition to more public roads needing signs and lane markings that self-driving cars
can clearly make out, vehicles need to be wirelessly connected with that traffic infrastructure,
as well as one another, in order to interact with the
world around them flawlessly. Fortunately, automakers like
Volvo already have technology that allows their cars to
communicate with each other and alert drivers of hazards
via a cloud-based network. This type of connected technology is being tested even further within driverless cars at Mcity, a 32-acre mock city and testing facility at the University of Michigan. Greg McGuire: So, what
are connected vehicles? When we say “connected” at Mcity, we’re really referring
not to streaming Netflix into your passenger seat so much, that’s a pretty solved
problem in the industry, but in how vehicles and infrastructure can be connected together for lots of other benefits, like safety. The idea is a low-latency way for vehicles to tell other vehicles and anything else that wants to listen where they are and where they’re going. Narrator: So, once traffic infrastructure and communication is handled, what else do we need to address? Well, traffic laws. Governments have a number of
important decisions to make in society’s transition
to self-driving vehicles. In the beginning stages,
they’ll have to define what weather conditions are appropriate for vehicles to be operating
fully autonomously. This is due to the fact that
many of these car systems can be disrupted by rain and snow. One industry they could
look to for guidance is the airline industry, who doesn’t hesitate to cancel
flights in inclement weather. They’ll also have to initially find a way for autonomous vehicles to
safely navigate public roads amongst traditional cars. A possible solution could
be designated lanes, similar to the
high-occupancy-vehicle lanes found on highways and bus lanes found in certain cities. Ayoub Aouad: The government’s
kind of leaving it up to states to decide what’s going on, just because the technology’s so new and they still
don’t really understand what it’s going to look like in the end. Once the government
does fully get involved, the federal government, they’re gonna have to speak to lobbyists, people that represent truck
drivers and taxi commissions. And they’re gonna realize that, you know, a lot of jobs could be lost, and that’s going to be difficult. And then, also, liability. If these cars are on the roads and they’re getting into
accidents, like, who is liable? Narrator: With all of
these things considered, back to our original question: How soon until we have self-driving cars? Aouad: I’d say within the decade
it’s gonna be on highways, but if we’re talking about being able to take your car wherever you
want across the United States, being able to travel through New York City and sleep the whole time, I don’t think we’re
anywhere close to that. Probably several decades away from that. Reimer: You know, car
makers and tech companies are very heavily focused on the context of driverless technologies. Now, I’m not saying that
that’s not the future. It is the future. But, as many have begun to admit publicly, that future is further away than anybody’s realistically considered to date. We as humans are really good
at predicting the future; we’re not so good at the timelines. And the timelines to driverless technology changing how I live and move is probably in the order
of several decades, if not further away. McGuire: How close are
we to the Jetson’s car? We’re still a ways away, in my opinion. It isn’t really a matter
of when these technologies will arrive, to me, but can we be ready and utilize them in the best way possible.

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87 thoughts on “How Soon Until We Have Self-Driving Cars?

  1. It will take you where it wants to take you…. Not where you want to go… facebook dot com / EXODICE ///|||\

  2. Crazy idea, but we live in a world now run by Clowns so I suppose its "anything goes" as is the agenda we must all be forced to follow.

  3. The reason why a lot of people think we already have self driving cars is because of all the concept “bullshit” manifacturors give us

  4. Once they’re on the highways and affordable people will see how kick ass they are and want them everywhere.

    Then a single car will malfunction (possibly due to user error) and it will take an extra decade to pass the legislation.

  5. 'Several decades away' – umm, what ? Technology progresses exponentially, we went from cable modems to super computers in our pockets within a decade.

  6. I wanna know when the USA will have an actual good public transportation system that doesn't require it's citezens to spend thousands of dollars on vehicles that creates more headache & than solutions

  7. Partnership with highways, so called autopilot only activated there by signal sent by highways infrastructure. This may happens soon be disruptive and avoid people misusing the system in complex normal road conditions. Same with weather, highways mat activate and deactivate autopilot remotely accordingly.

  8. Don't put your 100 percent trust in anything that's man made. Nothing is 100 percent perfect in this world. It's still a great idea but there's is always a small chance something could happen if a person is not completely paying attention.

  9. I thought the U.S was trying to make roads into 3 lanes, how would that work with a reserved self driving car lanes

  10. Til that business insider is bearish on Tesla and doesn't know that full self driving is coming later this year

  11. progress on self-driving cars is a positive feedback loop, the more people drive them, the better it becomes, these people are way too pessimistic and make me wonder if they benefit from saying this nonsense, also this video shows only 1 opinion without even considering how much progress we made in just the last 5 years.. is business Insider paid to make oil propaganda?

  12. I really don't see SELF DRIVING ROBOT Vehicles Will Take Over The Roads…They Can't REPLACE Human Interaction…NO WAY..Machines Are Machines…AT LEAST NOT IN MY LIFETIME…THANK GOD!

  13. Paid for by companies who don’t want truckers and their employees to start unionizing against being ultimately replaced by 2030

  14. I'm hoping to see self driving cars capable of handling the driving on interstate highways quite soon — assuming they're legally allowed to do so. That seems like a pretty easy task given the technology's current capabilities. And yes, if the weather is bad, or construction is going on, any number of exceptions happen, the human takes over. I'm fine with that right now. Just let the car take over on long highway stretches in good weather. I'll do the rest of the driving.

  15. Yes I was definitely going to bring up the rain situation because on rainy days Lyft will drop off wherever and say that's my stop and I will have to direct the person to where I am going. This is going to be a tricky one to figure out. Unless there create something that communication is in the ground to but this sounds extremely expensive

  16. Even if I could afford a driverless car I wouldn’t want one. I love driving my car and I wouldn’t want a machine doing it.

  17. There's no need for self-driving cars. Autonomous buses, trains, drones and aircraft are all fine, but cars need the reflexes of a living human.

  18. How easy will it be to hack this stupid ass idea and cause total chaos and death at a million different points in the system????????? Dumber than hell

  19. With global warming and more investment in technologies like this than the Amazon. I highly doubt we'll live another decade.

  20. you morons can't even see what you're doing, self driving cars, means good
    bye liberty and you're all so eager to hand it over too.

  21. Tesla Kool-Aid.. Tesla is not here for our advantage… No self-driving car company is. The amount of cameras and sensors on these vehicles will collect an enormous amount of data. Just picture yourself in the street surrounded by cameras. Even when you walk in your house, your activity even your guesstures and characteristics is going to be collected use the advantages of the elites.
    Since Amazon doesn't have a car company, they do it in wholesale foods… just imagine a company that knows your decision before you make it, one of which makes you believe it's your own decision.

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